基于深度学习的变电站互联电气设备地震易损性高效评估方法研究

RESEARCH ON AN EFFICIENT SEISMIC FRAGILITY ASSESSMENT METHOD FOR INTERCONNECTED ELECTRICAL EQUIPMENT IN SUBSTATIONS BASED ON DEEP LEARNING

  • 摘要: 为高效预测地震作用下变电站互联电气设备的应力响应,并实现地震易损性的高效评估,该文提出了一种基于深度学习理论的变电站互联电气设备地震易损性分析框架,并深入探究了母线耦联效应对各类电气设备地震易损性的影响。以典型的220 kV/110 kV降压变电站为研究对象,建立了五种典型多电气设备接线配置的数值仿真模型,并开展地震作用下的非线性动力时程分析。利用深度学习构建等效映射模型,计算不同接线配置下各电气设备的地震易损性。研究结果表明:所建立的深度学习模型能够快速且准确地预测变电站电气设备薄弱位置的应力响应;考虑母线耦联效应后,变压器的抗震能力中值增加约54.5%,而隔离开关的抗震能力中值则降低约75.6%,这充分表明,母线耦联效应对设备的抗震性能具有显著影响。

     

    Abstract: In order to efficiently predict the stress responses of interconnected electrical equipment in substations under seismic action and to achieve rapid seismic vulnerability assessment, this study proposes a deep learning-based framework for seismic vulnerability analysis of such equipment, with an in-depth investigation into the impact of bus coupling effects on the aseismic performance of different equipment types. A typical 220 kV/110 kV step-down substation was selected as the research object. Numerical simulation models of five representative multi-electrical-equipment connection configurations were established, and nonlinear dynamic time-history analyses were conducted under seismic excitation. An equivalent mapping model driven by deep learning was developed to calculate the seismic vulnerability of each equipment type under varying connection configurations. The research results demonstrate that the deep learning model proposed can rapidly and accurately predict stress responses at structural weak points of substation equipment. When accounting for bus coupling effects, the median seismic capacity of transformers increased by approximately 54.5%, whereas that of disconnectors decreased by about 75.6%, which unequivocally confirms the significant influence of bus coupling on equipment aseismic performance.

     

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