机器学习驱动的建筑中摇摆刚体地震响应快速预测方法

RAPID PREDICTION METHOD FOR SEISMIC RESPONSE OF ROCKING RIGID BLOCKS IN BUILDINGS DRIVEN BY MACHINE LEARNING

  • 摘要: 快速预测建筑物中家具、设备等摇摆刚体块的地震响应具有重要意义。针对数值分析方法耗时长的挑战,该文提出了机器学习驱动的建筑中摇摆刚体地震响应快速预测方法。该方法以城市抗震弹塑性分析计算建筑楼层地震响应,将建筑楼层地震响应输入到摇摆刚体模型中计算摇摆刚体块运动,采用机器学习算法预测摇摆刚体块是否倾覆。以位于一栋四层框架结构中的摇摆刚体块为例,展示了所提出的方法,并对比了常用的五种机器学习分类算法,分析了不同输入变量对物体是否倾覆的影响,主要结论有:随机森林算法在预测建筑中摇摆刚体块是否倾覆的性能上最为优越;地面峰值速度是影响摇摆刚体块是否倾覆的关键变量,其次是累积绝对速度和Arias强度,地面峰值加速度和重要持时的重要性相对较小,但对预测模型也有一定影响;所提出的方法能够高效准确地预测建筑物中摇摆刚体是否倾覆,总体准确率达到95.5%,计算效率相比于数值计算提高4287倍,可为震后应急评估提供参考。

     

    Abstract: The rapid prediction of the seismic response of rocking rigid blocks such as furniture, equipment, in buildings holds significant importance. To address the time-consuming challenge of numerical analysis methods, this study proposes a machine learning-driven approach for the rapid prediction of the seismic response of rocking rigid blocks in buildings. In this method, the seismic responses of the building at different floors are calculated using city-scale nonlinear time-history analysis. The seismic responses of the rocking rigid block are calculated by inputting the seismic response of the building floor into the rocking rigid block model. Machine learning algorithms are then adopted to predict whether the rigid blocks will overturn. Taking a rocking rigid block located in a four-story frame structure as an example, the proposed method is demonstrated, and five commonly used machine learning classification algorithms are compared. The influence of different input variables on whether the object overturns is analyzed, leading to the following key conclusions: The random forest algorithm exhibits the best performance in predicting whether rocking rigid blocks in buildings will overturn; Peak ground velocity is identified as the critical variable affecting whether a rocking rigid blocks overturns, followed by cumulative absolute velocity and Arias intensity, while peak ground acceleration and significant duration have relatively minor importance, though they still influence the predictive model; The method proposed efficiently and accurately predicts whether rocking rigid blocks in buildings will overturn, achieving an overall accuracy of 95.5%, and enhances computational efficiency by 4287 times compared to numerical analysis methods, providing a valuable reference for post- earthquake emergency assessments.

     

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