基于深度集成-主动学习的地效飞行器机腹着水结构可靠性分析

STRUCTURAL RELIABILITY ANALYSIS OF WING-IN-GROUND AIRCRAFT BELLY WATER LANDING BASED ON DEEP ENSEMBLE-ACTIVE LEARNING

  • 摘要: 对于受多种不确定性因素影响的低失效概率的地效飞行器机腹着水结构,精确地评估其结构可靠度通常需要进行大量的有限元分析。该文在研究深度集成-主动学习的结构可靠性分析方法的基础上,将深度神经网络作为代理模型,利用深度集成方法得到了局部预测方差,并结合主动学习策略,在预测方差大且接近失效边界的区域进行自适应采样,从而减少了所需样本数量。同时,为保证失效边界拟合精度,基于极限状态函数构建加权均方误差损失函数,获得了具有局部精确代理能力的神经网络模型。对地效飞行器机腹着水结构进行了可靠性分析,结果表明:在精确评估结构可靠度的前提下,有效降低了结构响应求解次数。

     

    Abstract: Accurately assessing the structural reliability of water landing belly structure of wing-in-ground aircraft with low failure probability, which is influenced by multiple sources of uncertainty, typically requires tremendous finite element analysis. In this paper, based on the study of deep ensemble-active learning structural reliability analysis method, deep neural networks are employed as the surrogate model, and the local predictive variances are obtained by deep ensemble method. Combined with active learning strategy, adaptive sampling is performed in regions with high predictive variances and close to the failure boundary, thus reducing the number of required samples. In order to ensure the fitting accuracy of the failure boundary, weighted mean square error loss function is constructed based on the limit state function, and the neural network model with locally accurate surrogate capability is obtained. The structural reliability analysis of wing-in-ground aircraft belly water landing is carried out, and the results show that under the premise of accurately evaluating structural reliability, the number of structural response solutions is effectively reduced.

     

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